MARKET COMMENTARY – Buying pressure stalled after markets drifted higher once more in a clear sign of tentative participation of news. Cross currents still sit in the middle of all our upward motion as we wait for a Fed release that the markets have priced for a 25 point basis move. We have broken out and sit in bullish continuation. Pullbacks are buying opportunities but holding above 3033 is quite important to keep bullish pressure afloat.
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WEEKLY PRICE ACTION
Neutral to bullish action with a hold over 3008 keeping us bullish (in terms of weekly closes), with slightly positive momentum present. Pullbacks ought to be buying regions but the question might be – have we attained a primary target (3046) from which we are likely to fade. Look below for the intraday motion parameters. Be cautious adding to swing positions in either direction.
COMMODITY & CURRENCY WATCH
Gold prices failed support but still sits in the channel I noted a couple of months ago in the trading room. Use caution with size – there is significant risk in the charts. The US dollar is at a major support region and holding – for over a week now – clearly waiting for the Fed. WTI sits well above 54.68 support after a large drawdown of US oil inventories stocks. EIA today. Resistance now sits at 57.85.
TRADING VIEW & ACTION PLAN
Buyers dance at the breakout level near 3030 in the ES_F which will hold as baseline support. Be patient and wait for your setups means that mornings like this that come into key support means that we can engage at this region. We are near a pivot of sorts as we were yesterday in a bit of a range. Understand your levels and prepare for them. Realize that we could bounce higher than anticipated and fade deeper than anticipated before returning to the range. Follow the trend in the shorter time frames and watch the price action.
The theme of motion is:
POSITIVE AS LONG AS WE HOLD ABOVE 3030ish today (with big spikes likely fading back into congestion)
NEGATIVE AS LONG AS WE HOLD BELOW 3022ish today (with sharp bounces failing and deep pullbacks holding)– choppy inside the range.
Do what’s working (that means follow short trend and momentum signals while in the intraday spaces) and watch for weakness to develop away from your trade direction in order to leave. Please log in for the definitive levels of engagement today.
METASTOCK SWING SHORT – inactive
METASTOCK SWING LONG – Green diamond shows newest support ranges
Intraday LONG trading from support edges like the VWAP or solid moving averages will give you the least risk event for engaging.
Intraday SHORT trading from resistance edges like the old highs will give you the least risk event for engaging.
Follow the candle trend until candles stop breaking higher.
NEW LINK FOR TRADING DATA EXCEL SPREADSHEET -REMEMBER, WE ARE USING AGGRESSIVE ENTRIES IN THIS MARKET- If those levels have passed you, simply walk up your targets as the next entry as long as trend prevails.
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