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Grinding Higher – Support Intact – Feb 14, 2020

MARKET COMMENTARY

Markets have held higher lows in a continuation of upside motion for yet another day. TRADERS CONTINUE TO GRIND HIGHER, so don’t fight the trend. Traders are participating on the move up but tentative undercurrents remain as gold holds steady. Our Fibonacci level of 3386 was tested and currently being rejected. Minor technical divergence remains present but the slope of motion holds. Fibonacci levels look like a retest of 3380 if we are to hold upside, then 3386 once more and then a move to 3392-3396. Gold and Bitcoin levels remain elevated under these conditions along with the US dollar

WEBINAR LINK IS IN THE PROTECTED AREA OF THE BLOG – Please login and scroll down for the link.

WEEKLY PRICE ACTION
Earnings season continues with more than 600 companies reporting this week. Monthly support has shifted down with a midweek candle showing the way -now sits at 3212. Weekly support is 3264-3291 while resistance and Fibonacci extensions show 3364 – 3392, and now 3396 as targets on the horizon if the trend holds.

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Great news here – we now have sharing links for each of the charts we follow that (if you have ThinkorSwim) you can load directly onto your charts.
NEW LINK FOR TODAY’S TRADING DATA EXCEL SPREADSHEET

Individual TOS Chart share links for ES_F , NQ_F , YM_F , CL_F , GC_F

REMEMBER, WE ARE USING AGGRESSIVE ENTRIES IN THIS MARKET– If those levels have passed you, simply walk your targets up the levels noted on the spreadsheet as the next entry as long as trend prevails.

WEBINAR LINK FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING Feb 10, 2020

WEBINAR RECORDINGS ARE AVAILABLE BY REQUEST

COMMODITY & CURRENCY WATCH
Gold has broken back above 1563 confirming the rounding bottom we were watching. If the participants fail to hold this region near 1556, we will focus on 1536 once more – and holding over 1570 could easily go to 1581. We remain in congested support near 1577 at this writing. The US dollar is holding over 99 in a breakout as a flight to safety in the dollar continues – a front running of the Fed having to lower rates. WTI is finally holding a bounce off support and working off its oversold levels.

TRADING VIEW & ACTION PLAN
We are still looking at choppy news-driven markets after our deep fade recovers and sends us to new highs under technical divergence. SIGNAL LIGHTS ARE YELLOW-but much more bullish than before so look for higher lows at the first passes from resistance to support. If levels near 3376 fail, we will have a much greater chance of bearish action building before buyers try to engage again.

The theme of INTRADAY motion is: BREAKOUT under minor technical divergence and holding a retest of support.

POSITIVE AS LONG AS WE HOLD ABOVE 3377.75ish today (with big spikes likely with shallow fades back into breakout)

CHOPPY BETWEEN 3359 AND 3379.75

NEGATIVE AS LONG AS WE HOLD BELOW 3357ish today (with sharp bounces failing and deep pullbacks holding)– choppy inside the range.

Follow short term trend and momentum signals while in the intraday trading environment and watch for weakness to develop away from your trade direction in order to leave. Please log in for the definitive levels of engagement today.

TARGET RICH TRADES

METASTOCK SWING SHORT – intraday trading signals present only

METASTOCK SWING LONG -in play – a small reversion to the mean formation showing as possible now that a red diamond has shown up. Pullbacks are buying zones.

Intraday LONG trading from support edges like the VWAP or tight moving averages will give you the least risk event for engaging – removing your trade at resistance

Intraday SHORT trading from resistance edges like the old highs or bigger moving averages will give you the least risk event for engaging.

Follow the candle trend until candles stop breaking higher.

Here’s a link to the METASTOCK software

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